Ninety-two percent of voters stated in a Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll results that the violent demonstrations and riots would be a central factor in the 2020 presidential election. Democrats recently changed their tune on the violent riots with an attempted rebrand calling the violence a direct product of “Trump’s America.” If you evaluate all of the last decade’s mass violent demonstrations, most of them took place under the Obama administration.
This is now the third Harvard CAPS / Harris Survey that published topline findings in the absence of any methodology or cross-tabs available from the study. The final results available on the website of Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll are from June 2020. According to The Hill, this is indeed a “representative online survey,” and thus has no margin of error. In other words, in the absence of a confidence interval from the results, this is not a scientific poll, by their own admission.
The Election Day/vote by mail split in this poll is terrifying. Trump leads by 20 points for live voting but trails by 40 for mail ballots. So in any close vote Trump will lead on Election Night – but neither side will know who really won.
Think the riots have been bad so far? pic.twitter.com/LzBssNcN2x
— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) September 1, 2020
Polls are often unscientific and misleading
POLL: Whose election to the office of President is more likely to bring the country together?
— Thomas Didymus, Anti-Riot (@didymus77) September 1, 2020
Any survey that does not release the methodology or cross tabs as a portion of the survey release should automatically not be trusted. In addition, every statistical study, whether or not it’s an “online survey” (YouGov carries out online surveys and also has a margin of error for their polling, while not yet technically science) should include a margin of error.
The Hill also released two other questions showing that Biden leads Trump on Law and Order and his response to Coronavirus and that the majority of voters say they think they will see a COVID 19 vaccine in the coming year.
Dems realize they are losing on the big issues
It can be concluded that with the Dems changing drastically on their messaging, it indicates they are afraid of a November over this and other polling figures. Apart from the already noted change in their messaging on protests across the nation, just this week, Kamala Harris told Americans not to embrace the coronavirus vaccine unless national health authorities approve it before the election. Concern about the possible availability of a vaccine before the election is also found in topline data from the Harvard / Harris survey. Seventy-four percent of survey respondents said there would be no vaccine available before the election. A pre-election vaccine could unexpectedly change the public sentiment on the admin’s handling of the pandemic to Trump’s advantage, and dash the Democrats’ hope for a White House win.
